Height: 6’2″ Weight: 200
Garin Cecchini was drafted in the 4th round of the 2010 draft out of Barbe High School in Lake Charles, LA. We had Cecchini very high on our 2010 Draft Preview List. He was definitely a favorite of mine:
28. Garin Cecchini 3B Barbe HS Louisiana – Cecchini has fallen on draft boards because of a torn ACL in his knee this spring, but the injury shouldn’t hurt him long term. His bat is his calling card but he has soft hands and good arm that play well at 3B. His left handed swing is smooth and it generates excellent power and contact ability. He’s considered a gamer by scouts and has shown to be an intelligent player. This is my 2011 sleeper offensive player. I love the bat.
But based on a torn ACL, suffered in the March prior to the draft, Cecchini fell on many draft boards. The Red Sox got what I considered the steal of the draft at the time and they were able to sign Cecchini away from LSU for $1.31mm. He signed at the deadline and didn’t play at all in 2010 but still ranked in our preseason Top 100 Prospect List:
70. Garin Cecchini 3B BOS - Cecchini is another steal for the Red Sox from the 2010 draft. Cecchini could very well be the best pure hitter in the Sox system and would have been passable at SS. They moved him to 3B and the only question at this point is if he’ll have enough power to be a star at the position. The defense and bat are plus tools.
Cecchini’s 2011 season was abbreviated, but we’ll delve into the numbers, bat and glove and show you why he’s held in high regard.
Cecchini has the best pure hitting ability in the system. While his 2011 was shortened by a broken wrist suffered against the Auburn Doubledays in July. But while he was healthy he raked the NY-Penn League with a .298 AVG and 12 doubles, a triple and 3 HR over 114 AB. His 17 walks and 19 K’s are elite level and he stole 12 bases. Stretch that out over a full season and you’re looking at a 50+ doubles, 15+ HR and 50+ SB with almost a 1:1 k/bb ratio.
I don’t think counting on a SB total anywhere near that would be wise. His speed is average and it is yet to be proven how well he will utilize what speed he does have. But even if he maximizes that speed with elite base running, 50+ SB is a truly elite level rarely seen and that’s not Cecchini’s game.
How many of those doubles eventually start leaving the ballpark will determine his level of success as a 3B. But with a .202 IsoP, 14.3% K rate and 12.8% walk rate, all elite level numbers.
Coming into the draft, Cecchini, had been a High School SS and while there were questions as to whether he could stick at SS long term it wasn’t because his glove and arm weren’t premium tools.
Cecchini has plus defensive capability at 3B whereas at SS he would have pressed to more than average long term. But with his above average arm he has more than enough to handle the hot corner.
While Cecchini was injured in HS as a senior, the injury in 2011 can’t be considered a trigger to tab him as injury prone. While he was healthy he lived up to the high expectations I had in my mind and more.
He’ll probably jump to High-A in 2012. The shortened season probably sets his time table back a bit so his ETA to Boston if all goes right should be the tail end of 2014.
I see Cecchini as a .290-.300 hitter with 30 HR power and 20 SB potential. There is the downside that his power doesn’t translate to HR and he’s limited as a 20 HR type with more doubles. But I think with his home park being Fenway that’ll be able to utilize the short porch for additional HR totals and 30 will be within reach.
He’s still just 20 years old, so there is time for him to mature even more as a hitter with his already advanced approach.
On a side note, we got a chance to see his brother Gavin at the Perfect Game World Wood Bat Association Championships in Jupiter, FL. So check back soon for a Prospect Instinct breakdown on Gavin as we launch into the High School ranks in search for top prospects for the 2012 Draft. Thanks for checking Baseball Instinct. We’re working hard to bring you the best of the minor leagues and make the site the best experience it can be. So don’t hesitate to tell us what you would like to read about. Email us now at firstname.lastname@example.org.