2012 MLB Draft Signing Deadline: Day Five

Don’t go searching for Day Four, nothing really happened. But Day Five has been making some noise. I’m still debating on the effects of the new CBA on the draft but so far we’ve seen some top names sign quick and some major talents sitting and waiting after falling into the later rounds where bonus money could be scarce. We’ll continue updated these as they come out. Let’s take a look at who signed recently and while you’re at it head over to Facebook and join the Instinct page.

Minnesota TwinsThe Twins inked the the No. 32 overall pick for the slot recommended $1.55mm. They didn’t save anything, but its still a good price for the upside. Here’s the pre-draft take on Berrios:

37. J.O. Berrios RHP Papa Juan XXIII HS, Bayamon, P.R. – Few have risen as much as Berrios in 2012. He had the stuff to be a premium draft selection but added 20 lbs in the offseason, silencing concern of his small frame. The better organized showcases in PR also gave scouts a closer look at him in action against some top talent. He has a fastball that now sits in the 92-94 range and some reports have him maxing it out at 98. His secondaries are still a work in progress and he uses a slider and changeup combination.

Our Instinct – Berrios has a premium fastball and locates well bottom half of the strikezone. If his secondaries were more refined he would be a 1st round selection because he is also considered very signable with a commitment to Miami Dade JC as a fall back if he falls in the 2012 draft. He’ll need to develop his changeup and will be a project for a team considering him a mid-rotation starter talent. Eventually he could end up there or using his power stuff in the bullpen.

The Blue Jays were busy again and keep getting down to business. This time inking the #17 pick D.J. Davis.  They got him for $1.75mm which saves them $250k to put towards the $1mm they went over slot on Smoral. Here is the Davis take:

25. D.J. Davis OF Stone HS, Wiggins, Miss. – When speed comes attached to a tool set that includes contact ability it can make for an exciting player. Davis was a player who had the speed but until the 2011 WWBA hadn’t proven an ability to hit enough to make himself a premium offensive player. With elite 80 speed out a of a high school CF, maturity may finally have met raw skill.

Our Instinct – Davis has elite level speed and is going to cause fireworks on prospect charts once he settles into short season ball with his new team. He has matured as a hitter since the WWBA and with that he’s moving up the draft boards in some circles. He has a short up the middle approach and once he’s able to drive the gaps he could be a very dangerous leadoff hitter. He doesn’t project to hit for much power if any, but he has a solid frame at 6’1″ and 180. He’ll be an above average to plus CF defender despite only having an average arm.

The Blue Jays signed pick #58 Mitch Nay for $1 million, slight over the recommended $884,000 for that slot.

58. Mitchell Nay 3B Hamilton HS, Chanlder, AZ – Excellent bat speed to go with his raw power.  Aggressive hitter as well as defender.  Should be able to stick at 3B.  Hard worker with a baseball I.Q.

Our Instinct:  Nay’s biggest challenge will come with facing more breaking stuff, his pitch recognition isn’t where it needs to be.  Could be an impact bat if he reaches his potential.  Obviously the Jays thing that he will.

The Blue Jays at it again, this time signing pick #60 Tyler Gonzales.  We don’t yet know the value, but the slot price was $857,000 and we suspect it was near or slightly below that price.

60. Toronto Blue Jays – Tyler Gonzales RHP Madison HS, San Antonio – Gonzalez has one of the best pitch mixes in the entire draft working with a mid 90s fastball that he gets into the 97-98 range with movement. He holds his velocity deep into games and pairs it with a slider that scrapes the upper 80s and can be un-hittable. He has a violent arm whip to get his premium velocity though and that could lead to injury if he’s over worked as a pro.

Our Instinct – The extra arm whip in his delivery is probably an unnecessary addition to his mechanics since it doesn’t add deception and he could get the same arm speed by getting his front leg further extended. The team that selects him would be wise to try and iron out the mechanics and allow him time to develop a 3rd pitch because he could be a #2 starter if it all falls right. The fall back option will be an elite level power arm out of the bullpen.

Stick with Baseball Instinct and we’ll keep you a step ahead of the game. Check back soon for more Prospect coverage. While you’re here, check out our Baseball Instinct 360° – it’s our top 360 prospects for 2012. Also check out a friend of ours for all of your fantasy sports needs. Fantasy Rundown is updated religiously and is truly an awesome resource. Thanks for checking Baseball Instinct. We’re working hard to bring you the best of the minor leagues and make the site the best experience it can be, so don’t hesitate to tell us what you would like to read about. Email us now at mailbag@baseballinstinct.com.

I was born and raised in NYC. My father was a diehard Yankees fan but not biased and raised me to love the game more than any one team. For that I'm truly thankful to him. My love for the game runs deep, and after crunching numbers all day long, I tend to spend my nights at the FSL ballparks.


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